Part E - Inconclusive "Evidence" Against There Being A Link

16. The Taylor, Miller et al North London Study, June 1999

The Government’s advice on MMR and autism comes from the DoH, the Medicines Control Agency (MCA), the Committee on Safety of Medicines (CSM) and the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI).

But these bodies are closely intertwined, and have staked everything on a tiny handful of very small studies that have completely failed to get at the truth (this failure is obvious to anyone reading these studies, but most media and the medical establishment has probably relied on prepared "summaries" and press releases).

First, the Taylor, Miller et al study, 6/99:

17. Committee On Safety of Medicines Study, June 1999

In the words of the study report......

Study run as knockout competition: each case had to pass 4 hurdles (all four) to be counted as being caused by MMR. The four hurdles were: (1) have either the diagnosis or clinically relevant signs/symptoms been confirmed medically? (2) was the onset of the possible adverse effect within six weeks of immunisation with MMR? (3) was there history prior to immunisation relevant to the possible adverse effect? (4) was there evidence of other causes for the possible adverse effect?

18. Gillberg Study, Sweden

19. Patja et al Study (Peltola Study), Finland, December 2000

Other awkward facts re Peltola:

UK DoH also said in correspondence, speaking of all the various studies: "the follow-up time (three weeks) was based on knowledge of the replication rates of the vaccine viral is recognised that such a study could not establish a causal relationship with extremely rare events..... millions of children have received MMR in other countries such as Finland and the USA; no serious long-term complications have been identified...."

20. The Kaye, Melero-Montes and Jick Paper, BMJ, February 2001

This paper attempted to prove that there was no link between MMR and autism because although autism increased when MMR was introduced, it has carried on increasing since, when MMR’s coverage reached near-saturation almost immediately after introduction.

21. The Stokes et al Paper, Trivalent Combined Measles Mumps Rubella Vaccine, Journal of the American Medical Association, 4th October 1971

This paper, by Stokes, Weibel, Villarejos, Jorge, Arguedas, Buynak and Hilleman, has assumed more importance recently, see later Wakefield/Watson/Shattock debate section.

22. Ad-Hoc Medical Research Council "Committee of 37 Independent Experts"

This was held as a one-off in March 1998 to examine the Wakefield team’s "Early Report" published in 2/98 in The Lancet

23. The Medical Research Council’s Report ("Report of the Strategy Development Group Sub-Group on Research into Inflammatory Bowel Disorders and Autism", March 2000

This was yet another review group which, upon failing to prove that there was a link, then drew the illogical and unproven conclusion that MMR therefore was safe.

For autism, its recommendations included:

Despite the above, which implied continued vigilance, the chairman was openly dismissive of even the possibility of a link emerging, Professor Alan McGregor telling Reuters "We see this as the end of the story" (Reuters, 3/4/00).

Part F - Evidence To Suggest That There Is A Link/Other Papers

MMR and Late-Onset Autism -(Autistic Enterocolitis) - A Briefing Note by David Thrower